Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kashima Antlers in this match.
