Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.