Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Wednesday, August 31 at 11am in J1 League
Wednesday, August 31 at 11am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
| 8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
| 9 | FC Tokyo | 38 | -4 | 53 |
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, August 27 at 10am in J1 League
Saturday, August 27 at 10am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 38 | 26 | 69 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 |
| 6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 34.65%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.81%) and 1-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (13.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
34.28% ( -1.06) | 31.08% ( -0.81) | 34.65% ( 1.87) |
| Both teams to score 39.4% ( 1.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
