Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Gamba Osaka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League
Friday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
| 8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
| 9 | FC Tokyo | 38 | -4 | 53 |
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, August 27 at 10am in J1 League
Saturday, August 27 at 10am in J1 League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | -4 | 48 |
| 13 | Gamba Osaka | 39 | -17 | 44 |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 38 | -17 | 42 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
54.3% ( -1.59) | 26.14% ( 0.53) | 19.56% ( 1.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.3% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.09% ( -0.6) | 59.9% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.83% ( -0.46) | 80.17% ( 0.46) |
| Avispa Fukuoka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( -0.92) | 22.23% ( 0.91) |
