Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.
