Paris Saint-Germain 6-2 Gamba Osaka - Club Friendlies 1 Friendlies - Football

While we are expecting Galtier to make a number of alterations, that should not influence the end result. Established players and emerging prospects will want to impress, leading us to predict a comfortable win for the French giants. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 85.25%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 4.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 4-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (1.61%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Gamba Osaka
85.25% ( 0.65)	10.2% ( -0.34)	4.55% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 42.61% (

-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.93% (

0.11)

30.06% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.73% (

0.14)

51.27% (

-0.14)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.1% (

0.13)

4.89% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.34% (

0.4)

19.65% (

-0.41)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.8% (

-1.13)

55.19% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12% (

-0.68)

88% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 85.25%

Gamba Osaka 4.55%

Draw 10.2%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Gamba Osaka
3-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.11) 6-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) 7-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.39% Total : 85.25%	1-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.48% Total : 10.2%	0-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.5% Total : 4.55%

Form, Standings, Stats