Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oita Trinita win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oita Trinita win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
