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Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
1 - 2
FCSB

Samatta (21')
Pelkas (14'), Taison (32')
Taison (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gheorghita (50'), Dawa (60')
Ngezana (45+5'), Chiriches (51'), Birligea (52'), Gheorghita (65'), Radunovic (72'), Edjouma (75'), Sut (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: OFI Crete 0-5 PAOK
Saturday, February 8 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: FCSB 3-0 Sepsi
Sunday, February 9 at 6pm in Romanian SuperLiga

We said: PAOK 1-1 FCSB

PAOK avoided defeat in three of their four home matches in the league phase, although that solitary loss took place against Thursday's opponents. While we do not expect a repeat of October's 1-0 scoreline, we still believe that the visitors will do enough to hold their hosts to a draw in the first leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 49.28%. A win for FCSB had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest FCSB win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
PAOKDrawFCSB
49.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 24.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 26.18% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.4% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.15% (0.021999999999998 0.02)47.85% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97% (0.021000000000001 0.02)70.03% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)51.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)
FCSB Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (0.033000000000001 0.03)32.45% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (0.035 0.04)68.97% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 49.27%
    FCSB 26.18%
    Draw 24.53%
PAOKDrawFCSB
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.27%
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 26.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: OFI Crete 0-5 PAOK
Saturday, February 8 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: PAOK 1-2 AEK Athens
Sunday, February 2 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 PAOK
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: PAOK 1-0 Levadiakos
Sunday, January 26 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: PAOK 2-0 Slavia Prague
Thursday, January 23 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Aris 0-0 PAOK
Sunday, January 19 at 5pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: FCSB 3-0 Sepsi
Sunday, February 9 at 6pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: Petrolul 52 0-0 FCSB
Thursday, February 6 at 6.30pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: FCSB 1-1 CFR Cluj
Sunday, February 2 at 6pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: FCSB 0-2 Man Utd
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: UTA Arad 0-1 FCSB
Sunday, January 26 at 6pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: Qarabag 2-3 FCSB
Thursday, January 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League


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