SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for FCSB had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest FCSB win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | FCSB |
52.59% ( 0.01) | 23.2% ( -0) | 24.21% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.27% ( -0.01) | 43.73% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% ( -0.01) | 66.12% ( 0.01) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( 0) | 16.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.53% ( 0) | 46.47% ( -0.01) |
| FCSB Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% ( -0.02) | 31.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.69% ( -0.02) | 68.3% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qarabag FK | Draw | FCSB |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.21% Total : 52.59% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 24.21% |
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