Despite more drama in the week with the sacking of Sage, even that should not do much to derail Lyon's hopes of finishing in the top eight, and they have been handed a very favourable final fixture. With the Super Cup against Botev Plovdiv coming up on Tuesday, it is fair to assume that most of the focus will be on that for already-eliminated Ludogorets, but they will still want to put in a good showing against a European giant like Lyon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 16.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
64.5% ( -0)	19.05% ( 0)	16.45% ( 0)

Both teams to score 58.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.38% (

-0)

35.62% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.32% (

-0)

57.68% (

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.56% (

-0)

10.43% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.98% (

-0)

34.01% (

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.21%

34.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.47%

71.52%

Score Analysis

Lyon 64.5%

Ludogorets Razgrad 16.45%

Draw 19.05%

Lyon	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.27% 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.38% 3-0 @ 6.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 3.89% 4-2 @ 2.2% 5-1 @ 1.88% 5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 4% Total : 64.5%	1-1 @ 8.66% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.17% 0-0 @ 3.63% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.05%	1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.83% 0-2 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.59% Total : 16.45%