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Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 6, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
RL

Fenerbahce
1 - 3
Rangers

Djiku (30')
Talisca (67')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Dessers (6'), Cerny (42', 81')
Souttar (54')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-0 Antalyaspor
Sunday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Rangers 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Fenerbahce 2-1 Rangers

Fenerbahce boast the highest shot conversion rate of any remaining team in the Europa League this season (16.5%), netting 14 of their 85 attempts on goal. They will back themselves to make the net ripple once again on Thursday against a Rangers side that have scored 15 of their 16 EL goals from open play - the joint-highest total in the competition this term. Considering the contrasting form of these two sides, we are backing the high-flying hosts to get the better of a Gers outfit still getting to grips with the demands of new boss Ferguson. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 23.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
FenerbahceDrawRangers
53.74% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04) 22.32% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 23.94% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.52% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)40% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)62.37% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)14.91% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.72% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)43.28% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (0.0019999999999953 0)30.06% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)66.19%
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 53.74%
    Rangers 23.94%
    Draw 22.32%
FenerbahceDrawRangers
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.53% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 6.19% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 53.74%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 6.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.24% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 23.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-0 Antalyaspor
Sunday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 0-0 Fenerbahce
Monday, February 24 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-2 Fenerbahce
Thursday, February 20 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-1 Kasimpasa
Sunday, February 16 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-0 Anderlecht
Thursday, February 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Alanyaspor 0-2 Fenerbahce
Sunday, February 9 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Rangers 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-4 Rangers
Wednesday, February 26 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 0-2 St Mirren
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-3 Rangers
Sunday, February 16 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 0-1 Queen's Park
Sunday, February 9 at 3.30pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Rangers 4-0 Ross County
Sunday, February 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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