SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 64.42%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Anderlecht had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for an Anderlecht win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Anderlecht |
64.42% ( -0.06) | 20.02% ( 0.02) | 15.56% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.03% ( 0.01) | 41.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.63% ( 0.01) | 64.37% ( -0.01) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.69% ( -0.01) | 12.31% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.91% ( -0.03) | 38.09% ( 0.03) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.17% ( 0.07) | 39.82% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.51% ( 0.06) | 76.49% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Anderlecht |
| 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 3.5% Total : 64.41% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.02% | 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 15.56% |
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