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Europa League | League Stage
Jan 30, 2025 at 8pm UK
Lotto Park
HL

Anderlecht
3 - 4
Hoffenheim

Vasquez (18'), Goto (79'), Augustinsson (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hranac (41'), Bischof (54'), Mokwa Ntusu (59'), Hlozek (65')
Akpoguma (23'), Geiger (39'), Bischof (57'), Erlein (81'), Bulter (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Anderlecht 4-1 Mechelen
Sunday, January 26 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Anderlecht 2-1 Hoffenheim

Anderlecht should be considered strong favourites considering their strong record at home, as well as the fact the visitors are in the midst of an injury crisis. Hoffenheim may be forced to attack aggressively given they must win if they are to have a chance of reaching the round of 16, and if they were to do so, they may leave space in behind their defensive line for the hosts to exploit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 22.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
AnderlechtDrawHoffenheim
56.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 20.72% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 22.55% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 63.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.04% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)33.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.19% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)55.81% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)11.98% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.39% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)27.83% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)63.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Anderlecht 56.72%
    Hoffenheim 22.55%
    Draw 20.72%
AnderlechtDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.31% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-2 @ 4.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.3%
5-1 @ 1.53%
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 56.72%
1-1 @ 9.05%
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.33%
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 22.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Anderlecht 4-1 Mechelen
Sunday, January 26 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Plzen 2-0 Anderlecht
Thursday, January 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Kortrijk 0-2 Anderlecht
Sunday, January 19 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 0-3 Brugge
Sunday, January 12 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-3 Dender
Friday, December 27 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Genk 2-0 Anderlecht
Sunday, December 22 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-2 Frankfurt
Sunday, January 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-3 Spurs
Thursday, January 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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