SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 72.33%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 11.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 3-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.2%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Vitesse |
72.33% ( 0.04) | 15.95% ( -0.01) | 11.71% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.76% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.46% ( -0.04) | 31.54% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.98% ( -0.04) | 53.02% ( 0.04) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.4% ( -0) | 7.6% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.82% ( -0) | 27.18% ( -0) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.42% ( -0.07) | 38.57% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.68% ( -0.07) | 75.32% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.97% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.13% 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.26% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 72.33% | 1-1 @ 7.2% 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.95% | 1-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 11.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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