SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | NEC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Feyenoord |
32.38% ( 0.92) | 25% ( 0.31) | 42.62% ( -1.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.81% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.52% ( -1.02) | 46.48% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.24% ( -0.97) | 68.76% ( 0.97) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% ( 0.08) | 27.35% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.19% ( 0.11) | 62.81% ( -0.11) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% ( -0.99) | 21.8% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.99% ( -1.53) | 55.01% ( 1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.38% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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