SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 14.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Cambuur win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Vitesse in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitesse.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Cambuur |
66.78% ( -0.48) | 19.14% ( 0.22) | 14.08% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.02% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.93% ( -0.43) | 41.07% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.54% ( -0.44) | 63.46% ( 0.44) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.6% ( -0.25) | 11.4% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.85% ( -0.54) | 36.15% ( 0.55) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.71% ( 0.1) | 41.28% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.19% ( 0.09) | 77.81% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.87% Total : 66.77% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.14% | 0-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.61% Total : 14.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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