SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 76.41%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 9.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Cambuur |
76.41% ( 0.58) | 14.42% ( -0.28) | 9.17% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.19% ( 0.43) | 31.81% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.66% ( 0.5) | 53.34% ( -0.5) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.14% ( 0.21) | 6.85% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.77% ( 0.55) | 25.23% ( -0.56) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.59% ( -0.29) | 43.4% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.37% ( -0.25) | 79.63% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.07)6-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.73% Total : 76.4% | 1-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.42% | 1-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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