SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 55.76%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Twente |
22.41% ( 0) | 21.83% ( 0) | 55.76% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 59.24% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.54% ( -0) | 39.46% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.19% ( -0) | 61.81% ( 0) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( 0) | 31.05% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.63% ( 0) | 67.37% ( -0) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.93% ( -0) | 14.08% ( 0) |
