SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 72.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 11.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-3 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for a Cambuur win it was 2-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Feyenoord in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Feyenoord |
11.75% ( -0.03) | 15.62% ( 0.01) | 72.63% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.38% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.36% ( -0.14) | 29.64% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.24% ( -0.16) | 50.75% ( 0.16) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.83% ( -0.14) | 37.16% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.05% ( -0.14) | 73.95% ( 0.14) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.91% ( -0.03) | 7.09% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.14% ( -0.07) | 25.85% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.29% 3-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 11.75% | 1-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 15.62% | 0-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 8.14% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 8.06% ( -0)0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.85% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.26% ( -0)1-6 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.19% Total : 72.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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