SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bodo/Glimt in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
25.14% ( -0.03) | 23.13% ( 0.02) | 51.72% |
| Both teams to score 58.05% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.44% ( -0.13) | 42.55% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.04% ( -0.13) | 64.96% ( 0.12) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% ( -0.09) | 30.46% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.32% ( -0.1) | 66.67% ( 0.1) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% ( -0.05) | 16.51% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.74% ( -0.08) | 46.25% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.55% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.14% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.9% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.21% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 51.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 9 | 23 | 31 |
| 2 | SK BrannBrann | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Viking FKViking FK | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Tromso ILTromso | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | MoldeMolde | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Stabaek FootballStabaek | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | RosenborgRosenborg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Odd | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | FK HaugesundHaugesund | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | StromsgodsetStromsgodset | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Valerenga FotballValerenga | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | SandefjordSandefjord | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | HamKam | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 4 |
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