SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
31.98% ( 0.19) | 23.21% ( -0.02) | 44.81% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 63.03% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.75% ( 0.18) | 38.25% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.47% ( 0.19) | 60.53% ( -0.2) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( 0.2) | 23.61% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.3% ( 0.29) | 57.7% ( -0.29) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.52% ( 0) | 17.48% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.03% ( 0.01) | 47.96% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.98% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.01% Total : 44.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 22 |
| 2 | Viking FKViking FK | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | SK BrannBrann | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Tromso ILTromso | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Stabaek FootballStabaek | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | MoldeMolde | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Valerenga FotballValerenga | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Odd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | RosenborgRosenborg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | StromsgodsetStromsgodset | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | SandefjordSandefjord | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | FK HaugesundHaugesund | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | HamKam | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | -11 | 4 |
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