SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalesund win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aalesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aalesund in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aalesund | Draw | Lillestrom |
39.62% ( 0.15) | 24.97% ( -0.04) | 35.4% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.71% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.34% ( 0.16) | 45.66% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.01% ( 0.16) | 67.98% ( -0.16) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( 0.15) | 22.9% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.35% ( 0.22) | 56.65% ( -0.23) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( 0.01) | 25.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.13% ( 0.02) | 59.87% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aalesund | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.62% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 16 |
| 2 | SK BrannBrann | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Odd | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Viking FKViking FK | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Tromso ILTromso | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Stabaek FootballStabaek | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | MoldeMolde | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Valerenga FotballValerenga | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | RosenborgRosenborg | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | HamKam | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | SandefjordSandefjord | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 14 | FK HaugesundHaugesund | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | StromsgodsetStromsgodset | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 12 | -12 | 1 |
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