SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valerenga Fotball | Draw | Lillestrom |
45.1% ( 0.86) | 24.36% ( -0.3) | 30.53% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 58.14% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( 1.08) | 44.35% ( -1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.27% ( 1.04) | 66.73% ( -1.05) |
| Valerenga Fotball Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( 0.82) | 19.8% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.13% ( 1.31) | 51.87% ( -1.32) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% ( 0.17) | 27.5% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37% ( 0.22) | 63% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valerenga Fotball | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.01% Total : 45.1% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 25 |
| 2 | SK BrannBrann | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Viking FKViking FK | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Tromso ILTromso | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Stabaek FootballStabaek | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | MoldeMolde | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Lillestrom | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Valerenga FotballValerenga | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Odd | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | RosenborgRosenborg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | StromsgodsetStromsgodset | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | SandefjordSandefjord | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | FK HaugesundHaugesund | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | HamKam | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
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