SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Stromsgodset win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Stromsgodset |
57.27% ( 0.25) | 22.37% ( -0.18) | 20.36% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% ( 0.7) | 44.54% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.09% ( 0.67) | 66.9% ( -0.67) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.69% ( 0.33) | 15.31% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.96% ( 0.61) | 44.04% ( -0.61) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.14% ( 0.33) | 35.85% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.37% ( 0.33) | 72.63% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Stromsgodset |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 57.27% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.36% | 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 25 |
| 2 | SK BrannBrann | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Viking FKViking FK | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Tromso ILTromso | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Stabaek FootballStabaek | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | MoldeMolde | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Lillestrom | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Valerenga FotballValerenga | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Odd | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | RosenborgRosenborg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | StromsgodsetStromsgodset | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | SandefjordSandefjord | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | FK HaugesundHaugesund | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | HamKam | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
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