SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Viking FK had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Viking FK win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Viking FK | Draw | Lillestrom |
35.44% ( -0.12) | 25.81% ( 0.19) | 38.74% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.57% ( -0.84) | 49.43% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.53% ( -0.76) | 71.47% ( 0.76) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% ( -0.47) | 26.91% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.77% ( -0.62) | 62.23% ( 0.62) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( -0.42) | 25.04% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.28% ( -0.58) | 59.72% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viking FK | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.44% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 22 |
| 2 | Viking FKViking FK | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | SK BrannBrann | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Tromso ILTromso | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Stabaek FootballStabaek | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | MoldeMolde | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Valerenga FotballValerenga | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Odd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | RosenborgRosenborg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | StromsgodsetStromsgodset | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | SandefjordSandefjord | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | FK HaugesundHaugesund | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | HamKam | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | -11 | 4 |
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