Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 27 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Avai | 24 | -14 | 23 |
| 19 | Atletico Goianiense | 24 | -13 | 22 |
| 20 | Juventude | 24 | -23 | 17 |
Sunday, August 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Fortaleza | 24 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 2 | 29 |
| 14 | Ceara | 24 | -1 | 27 |
We said: Atletico Goianiense 2-1 Sao Paulo
Although their manager was sacked following the weekend's defeat, we think that an Atletico Goianiense side who have won all of their home games in the Copa Sudamericana this season will edge out Sao Paulo to take a narrow lead into the second leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 43.53%. A draw had a probability of 33.1% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 23.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (6.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (18.01%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Goianiense | Draw | Sao Paulo |
43.53% ( 0.01) | 33.05% ( 0) | 23.41% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 31.71% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 24.64% ( -0.01) | 75.36% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 9.52% ( -0) | 90.47% ( 0) |
| Atletico Goianiense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.6% ( 0) | 35.39% ( -0) |
