SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Flamengo | 16 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 16 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Goias | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Ceara | 16 | -1 | 18 |
| 16 | America Mineiro | 16 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Avai | 16 | -9 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 53.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | America Mineiro |
53.42% ( 0.6) | 25.06% ( -0.24) | 21.51% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 47.73% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.87% ( 0.55) | 54.13% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.45% ( 0.46) | 75.55% ( -0.46) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( 0.46) | 20.25% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.41% ( 0.73) | 52.58% ( -0.74) |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.85% ( -0.05) | 40.14% ( 0.05) |
