SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Atletico Goianiense | 15 | -4 | 17 |
| 18 | Cuiaba | 15 | -6 | 16 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Flamengo | 15 | 2 | 21 |
| 10 | Botafogo | 15 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Goias | 16 | -3 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 46.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 25.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cuiaba | Draw | Botafogo |
46.77% ( 0.05) | 27.46% ( -0.05) | 25.77% |
| Both teams to score 45.49% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.7% ( 0.19) | 59.3% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.3% ( 0.14) | 79.7% ( -0.14) |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% ( 0.11) | 25.4% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.79% ( 0.15) | 60.21% ( -0.15) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.97% ( 0.1) | 39.02% ( -0.11) |
