Both of these clubs have been hard to predict in recent weeks and although Coventry are in slightly better form, we think that they will be held to a draw on the road by a Swansea side who are strong at home.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
