SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 1-0 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield United | Draw | Leeds United |
22.55% ( 0.86) | 24.25% ( 0.21) | 53.19% ( -1.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.42% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.08% ( 0.07) | 49.92% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.09% ( 0.06) | 71.91% ( -0.05) |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.25% ( 0.87) | 36.75% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.46% ( 0.86) | 73.54% ( -0.85) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.29% ( -0.38) | 18.71% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.93% ( -0.65) | 50.07% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield United | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.76% Total : 22.55% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 53.19% |
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