SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Sunderland |
66.63% ( -0.42) | 19.89% ( 0.25) | 13.48% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 47.84% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( -0.68) | 45.77% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( -0.65) | 68.09% ( 0.65) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.17% ( -0.33) | 12.82% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.83% ( -0.68) | 39.16% ( 0.67) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.88% ( -0.16) | 45.11% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.97% ( -0.13) | 81.02% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Sunderland |
| 2-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.95% Total : 66.62% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.89% | 0-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.48% |
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