We said: Preston North End 1-1 Norwich City
Under a new manager, Norwich will be eager to impress, especially after their FA Cup exit last weekend. Nevertheless, Preston have recently got back on track, and we feel that a competitive low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result |
| Preston North End | Draw | Norwich City |
34.31% ( 0) | 26.8% ( 0) | 38.89% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.37% |
| 46.29% ( -0) | 53.71% |
| 24.8% ( -0) | 75.2% |
| 70.32% ( 0) | 29.68% ( -0) |
