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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 9, 2025 at 12pm UK
Fratton Park
LL

Portsmouth
1 - 0
Leeds

Bishop (61')
Poole (43'), Botts (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 1-3 Leeds United

Portsmouth will certainly take confidence from the fact they have lost just one of their last 11 matches, but they will be aware of the almighty test that lies in front of them on Sunday, and we ultimately believe that Leeds will have the superior quality required to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.32%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawLeeds United
17.95% (-0.867 -0.87) 23.21% (0.534 0.53) 58.84% (0.331 0.33)
Both teams to score 47.62% (-3.129 -3.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59% (-3.39 -3.39)51.41% (3.389 3.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-3.036 -3.04)73.22% (3.034 3.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.5% (-2.991 -2.99)42.5% (2.989 2.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.13% (-2.664 -2.66)78.87% (2.663 2.66)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.83% (-1.079 -1.08)17.17% (1.078 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.57% (-1.937 -1.94)47.43% (1.937 1.94)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 17.95%
    Leeds United 58.82%
    Draw 23.21%
PortsmouthDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.25% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 4.71% (-0.301 -0.3)
2-0 @ 2.67% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.233 -0.23)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 17.95%
1-1 @ 11% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.94 0.94)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.427 -0.43)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 12.85% (1.24 1.24)
0-2 @ 11.32% (0.71 0.71)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-3 @ 6.65% (0.193 0.19)
1-3 @ 5.69% (-0.307 -0.31)
0-4 @ 2.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.51% (-0.233 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-5 @ 1.03% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 58.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 QPR
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Cardiff
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-3 Leeds
Monday, February 24 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Sunderland
Monday, February 17 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-4 Leeds
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-2 Millwall
Saturday, February 8 at 12.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Coventry 0-2 Leeds
Wednesday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Championship


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