SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Coventry City |
50.08% ( 0.41) | 24.81% ( 0) | 25.1% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.14% ( -0.36) | 49.85% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.14% ( -0.32) | 71.85% ( 0.31) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.07% ( 0.02) | 19.92% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.94% ( 0.04) | 52.06% ( -0.05) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( -0.54) | 34.42% ( 0.54) |
