Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
42.78% ( -0.01) | 23.47% ( 0) | 33.75% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 62.79% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.13% ( -0.02) | 38.87% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.81% ( -0.03) | 61.18% ( 0.02) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.44% ( -0.01) | 18.55% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.18% ( -0.02) | 49.81% ( 0.02) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% ( -0.01) | 22.9% ( 0.01) |