SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Leeds United |
38.74% ( -0.66) | 25.1% ( 0.42) | 36.15% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 57.34% ( -1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.83% ( -1.92) | 46.17% ( 1.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.53% ( -1.84) | 68.46% ( 1.83) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.42% ( -1.19) | 23.57% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.36% ( -1.74) | 57.64% ( 1.74) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% ( -0.76) | 24.96% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.39% ( -1.06) | 59.61% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.07% Total : 38.74% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.46)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 36.15% |
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