SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
56.81% ( 2.94) | 22.91% ( -0.27) | 20.28% ( -2.67) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( -2.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.02% ( -2) | 46.97% ( 2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.78% ( -1.9) | 69.22% ( 1.9) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.69% ( 0.32) | 16.31% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.11% ( 0.57) | 45.89% ( -0.57) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.67% ( -3.7) | 37.33% ( 3.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.88% ( -3.83) | 74.12% ( 3.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% ( 1.01) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 1.01)2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.67)3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.19% Total : 56.81% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.48)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.6)0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.4)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.35)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.24)Other @ 1.63% Total : 20.28% |
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