SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
35.56% ( 0.23) | 24.94% ( 0.02) | 39.49% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.47% ( -0.1) | 45.52% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( -0.09) | 67.85% ( 0.09) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( 0.08) | 24.99% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.34% ( 0.12) | 59.65% ( -0.12) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( -0.17) | 22.9% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.34% ( -0.25) | 56.66% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.56% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.49% |
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