SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
43.62% ( 3.89) | 26.82% ( -0) | 29.56% ( -3.88) |
| Both teams to score 49.7% ( -1.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.89% ( -1.16) | 55.1% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.64% ( -0.96) | 76.35% ( 0.96) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( 1.51) | 25.07% ( -1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.24% ( 2.04) | 59.76% ( -2.05) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( -3.32) | 33.67% ( 3.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.68% ( -3.78) | 70.32% ( 3.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.98) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.35)2-0 @ 8.08% ( 1)3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.33)3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.6)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.68)0-2 @ 5% ( -0.73)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.51)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.47)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.26)Other @ 2.38% Total : 29.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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