SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 9.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Preston North End |
72.03% ( 0.04) | 18.6% ( -0.02) | 9.37% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 38.7% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.34% ( 0.04) | 50.66% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.43% ( 0.04) | 72.57% ( -0.04) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.27% ( 0.03) | 12.73% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.03% ( 0.05) | 38.97% ( -0.05) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.34% ( -0.01) | 55.66% ( 0.01) |
