SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.53%) and 3-2 (4.83%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Marseille |
44.61% ( -0.05) | 21.25% ( -0.03) | 34.13% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 71.5% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.41% ( 0.19) | 27.59% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.77% ( 0.24) | 48.23% ( -0.24) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( 0.06) | 13.39% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.69% ( 0.12) | 40.3% ( -0.12) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% ( 0.13) | 17.44% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.09% ( 0.22) | 47.9% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Marseille |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 44.61% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.25% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 32 | 66 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 66 | 45 | 21 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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