SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Angers had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Marseille |
24.89% ( -0.03) | 25.39% ( 0) | 49.71% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.55% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.66% ( -0.03) | 52.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.97% ( -0.03) | 74.02% ( 0.03) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.05% ( -0.05) | 35.95% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.27% ( -0.05) | 72.73% ( 0.05) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( 0) | 21.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.12% ( 0) | 53.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 7.75% 2-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.89% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.88% 0-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 49.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 35 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 84 | 35 | 49 | 81 |
| 2 | Lens | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 75 |
| 3 | Marseille | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 65 |
| 5 | Lille | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 60 |
| 6 | Rennes | 35 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 60 | 38 | 22 | 59 |
| 7 | Lyon | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Clermont | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 53 |
| 9 | Lorient | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 52 |
| 10 | Nice | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 51 |
| 11 | Reims | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 50 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 44 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 43 |
| 14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 38 |
| 15 | Brest | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 38 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 35 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 33 |
| R | Ajaccio | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 66 | -44 | 23 |
| R | Troyes | 35 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 22 |
| R | Angers | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 74 | -46 | 14 |
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