SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Union Berlin |
58.96% ( 0.03) | 22.58% ( -0.01) | 18.45% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.42% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.86% ( -0.01) | 48.13% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.7% ( -0.01) | 70.29% ( 0) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.02% ( 0.01) | 15.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.71% ( 0.02) | 45.29% ( -0.02) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.01% ( -0.03) | 39.98% ( 0.03) |
