Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.84%) and 1-3 (5.54%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
