SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | RB Leipzig |
66.88% ( -0.3) | 16.77% ( 0.12) | 16.34% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 67.5% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.72% ( -0.27) | 24.28% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.03% ( -0.36) | 43.96% ( 0.36) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.13% ( -0.13) | 6.87% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.73% ( -0.34) | 25.26% ( 0.34) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% ( -0) | 27.52% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.97% ( -0) | 63.02% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.3% Total : 66.88% | 1-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.54% Total : 16.77% | 1-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.87% Total : 16.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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