SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 0-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
18.89% ( -0.03) | 20.73% ( -0.02) | 60.37% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.4% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.72% ( 0.03) | 39.27% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.39% ( 0.03) | 61.61% ( -0.04) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.7% ( -0.02) | 34.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29% ( -0.02) | 71% ( 0.02) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.37% ( 0.03) | 12.63% ( -0.03) |
