SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 75.63%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 9.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 75.63% | 14.7% ( -0) | 9.67% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.77% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.46% ( -0.01) | 31.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.97% ( -0.01) | 53.03% ( 0.01) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.05% ( -0) | 6.95% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.53% ( -0.01) | 25.47% ( 0) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.79% ( -0.01) | 42.21% ( 0.01) |
