SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
28.01% ( 0.18) | 20.69% ( -0.03) | 51.3% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 69.93% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.8% ( 0.27) | 28.19% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.02% ( 0.34) | 48.98% ( -0.34) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( 0.25) | 20.91% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.36% ( 0.38) | 53.63% ( -0.39) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.42% ( 0.05) | 11.58% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.45% ( 0.11) | 36.54% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.97% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.01% | 1-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.69% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.41% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.47% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 51.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 75 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 31 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 82 | 29 | 53 | 73 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 62 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 60 | 53 | 7 | 54 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 54 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 53 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 49 |
| 9 | Brentford | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 47 |
| 10 | Fulham | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 45 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 37 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 36 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 34 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 30 |
| 17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 30 |
| 18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 29 |
| 19 | Everton | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 28 |
| 20 | Southampton | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 24 |
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