SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.72%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 6.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
82.72% ( 0.89) | 10.85% ( -0.32) | 6.43% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( -2.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.66% ( -0.8) | 23.34% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.28% ( -1.09) | 42.72% ( 1.1) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.89% ( -0.01) | 4.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.77% ( -0.05) | 17.23% ( 0.06) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.84% ( -2.22) | 43.16% ( 2.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.58% ( -1.92) | 79.42% ( 1.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 3-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.48)3-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.39)2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.31)5-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.24)5-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.24)4-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.2)6-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.13)6-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.13)7-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.06)7-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)6-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.89% Total : 82.72% | 1-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.18% Total : 10.85% | 1-2 @ 2% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 6.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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