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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 14, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
HB
Schalke
5 - 2
Hertha Berlin
Skarke (3'), Bulter (13', 78'), Terodde (48'), Kaminski (90+2')
Krauss (86'), Jenz (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Jovetic (45+3'), Richter (84')
Boateng (40'), Ngankam (70'), Uremovic (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 9 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Schalke 04 1-1 Hertha Berlin

Neither team are likely to play to their full capabilities on Friday given their recent defeats and the amount at stake in this relegation battle, and we can envisage both sides aiming to keep themselves in the mix by playing out a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawHertha Berlin
37.95% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.38% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 36.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)47.4% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (0.012 0.01)69.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)24.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)59.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (0.014000000000003 0.01)60% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 37.95%
    Hertha Berlin 36.67%
    Draw 25.38%
Schalke 04DrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.01%
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 37.95%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 5.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 9 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Schalke
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 2-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Schalke
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 2-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 25 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Mainz
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-1 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, March 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
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